Geno Smith could play a role in the future roster building for the New York Giants football franchise despite the fact that he hasn’t been on the 53-man roster since last December.
According to Nick Korte, NFL salary cap and compensatory draft expert for OverTheCap.com, depending on how much playing time Smith receives from the Los Angeles Chargers over the final five weeks of the 2018 regular season, the Giants stand to acquire a fifth-round pick in the 2019 NFL Draft.
Smith played 19 percent of the Chargers’ offensive snaps in Week 12 after Los Angeles jumped out to a massive lead and rested starting quarterback Philip Rivers in the second half of their 45-10 win over the Arizona Cardinals. This was great news for the Giants franchise. After playing 19 percent of the snaps in Week 12, Smith is now moved up three spots in my projection of the leaguewide portion of the formula, to 960th from 963rd.
Korte further clarified the formula and where Smith stands in it as of now and in relation to a potential Giants draft pick.
“Is finishing in the 960s range enough to qualify,” Korte Tweeted. “He has to be in the top half of leaguewide players. The last 2 years I projected the total number at 1,921 and 1,933. 50% of each is 960 & 966. Geno Smith will likely be on the CFA bubble to the very end.
“He has to be in the top half of leaguewide players,” Korte continued. “The last 2 years I projected the total number at 1,921 and 1,933. 50% of each is 960 & 966.”
The Giants would be on schedule to receive a fifth-round 2019 compensatory draft pick if Smith qualifies based on them losing linebacker Devon Kennard to the Detroit Lions during the 2018 free agency period on a multi-year contract. Kennard has played the vast majority of defensive snaps as a starter for the Lions defense and this has also factored into the formula.
So what Giants fans should be hoping for is multi-score games for the Chargers moving forward. If the Chargers are involved in another blowout win, they will likely turn to Smith in the second half of games and he can increase his playing time. Giants fans should also be hoping for the Chargers to be involved in blowout losses where Smith comes in to relieve Rivers for the meaningless remainder of games in an attempt to preserve their starting quarterback for the postseason.
The best case scenario as it pertains to the Giants’ compensatory draft pick for Smith would play out if the Chargers clinch any specific seeding in the AFC playoffs after Week 16. In other words, if the Chargers have nothing to gain or lose by playing their starters in Week 17 — say if they’re locked in on a 5 or 6 seed — Smith stands a strong chance to start and play the entire final game of the regular season. This would all but lock in the Giants for another compensatory draft pick. New York is already expected to receive a fourth-round 2019 compensatory draft pick for the loss of Justin Pugh in free agency following the team’s decision to release Patrick Omameh earlier this season.